The Subversive Trilemma of Cyber Operations
For three decades, states have engaged in cyber conflict. Scholars have expected new information technologies to change the rules, even the end of conventional warfare. It seems that, like many other...
View ArticleThe Technological Conquest of Earth
Setting aside the recurrent individual attempts of the stupid empowered primates flapping around like headless chickens, it is clear that human species is now in the process —and very likely at a...
View ArticleTechnology Forecast and Socio-Technical Transitions
Decisions about how and when to decarbonize the global energy system are highly (though not exclusively) influenced by estimates of the likely cost. In a paper published in Joule, a sister journal to...
View ArticleThe State of AI in 2022
Artificial Intelligence is without any doubt one of the key themes of 2022 in technology. This year might well be remember as the year of painting ostentatiously. Leading by DALL-E, the AI model by...
View ArticleScience and Technology are becoming less disruptive
A paper published on January 4, which has been widely referred in general media and shared in social networks, documents how papers and patents are becoming less disruptive over time1, one key question...
View ArticleGordon Moore. In Memoriam
There is such a thing as a natural-born Entrepreneur… But the accidental entrepreneur like me has to fall into the opportunity or be pushed into it. Gordon Moore, The Accidental Entrepreneur He fell...
View ArticleBreakthrough Innovations and Productivity Over the Long Run
After the 2008 financial crisis, many modern economies have suffered from persistent economic stagnation. Developed countries have not been as effective as previously in promoting long‐term...
View ArticleSpain. A country for the future?
During the coming weeks, my colleague (and co-author) Isabel F. Peñuelas and the author of this blog are going to be sharing some of the ideas we have put together in a draft paper1 with the tittle of...
View ArticleIndustrial Society and Its Future
Theodore John Kaczynski, known as the “Unabomber,” died in prison of suicide in June 2023. Between 1978 and 1995, Kaczynski carried out a bombing campaign that killed three people and injured 23...
View ArticleCollective Intelligence to Solve the Transformative Technology Trilemma
The Collective Intelligence Project (CIP) is an incubator for new governance models for transformative technology. Cofounded by Divya Siddarth and Saffron Huang, its objective is the research and...
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